Wednesday, October 29, 2008

UGA - UF Game Analysis




Well, here we sit, 7-1 (4-1) in control of our own destiny. What a enviable position, as USCe and UT would kill to be in our place. The Dawgs and Gators have kept quiet this week as both coaches issued gag orders. However, nothing needs to be said. The winner goes on to Atlanta and has an outside shot at the MNC and the loser probably goes to the Outback Bowl to face some weak Big 10/11 squad.

As for the 800 lb. gorilla in the room that both teams have tried to ignore, nice try. My take on the Celebration is this: UF had the entire game last year to get "fired up" and get a little payback against us. However, they did not and therefore, I believe that the advantage sits squarely in Georgia's corner.

As my neighbor and I were discussing earlier tonight, this situation is very similar to something that often took place in the Spurrier Era. Every year the HBC would say or do something that would make our team and fan base mad, and the team would focus on payback for those comments or act. By focusing on the Celebration, the Gators are going to be taken out of "their game". They will be so focused on payback that they will play without control. On the other side, the Dawgs are coming in to prove that last year was not a fluke and that we can beat the "Mighty" Gators in back-to-back years.

So, without getting too much into how each unit matches up against the other I will make a couple of points.

I believe our offense, lead by the 3 (or 4 if you count MoMass) headed monster is impossible to stop. If you focus on taking one out of the game, Bobo will dial up the other and beat you with that one.

On defense, we have very fast and physical LBs. We have a strong interior defensive line, and DEs that are starting to show signs of life. The improving health of Rod Battle is key to getting pressure on Tebow. Yes, UF has more weapons this year, but I truly believe in Georgia's ability to stuff the run. Last week LSU was able to move the ball on the ground because their big O-line was able to get to the second level of our defense and put a helmet on our LBs. However, this week I believe our D-line will be able to occupy the O-line so that Rennie, Ellerbe, Dent, etc. will be able to step up and shut down the ground game. Stopping the passing game will probably be Georgia's biggest challenge. Martinez has finally made some changes in the secondary including, moving Evans over to back up Reshad Jones, and moving Prince Miller over to Evans CB spot. Hopefully these changes will help to invigorate this unit. I feel that this unit is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder ready to show the country that they can stop the Gators.

Florida definitely has an advantage on special teams. Here Georgia's mission is just to prevent the big play. Contain Brandon James and protect Mimbs and Walsh so that they can get their kicks off. Georgia has faced very solid return men the last three games and have performed well in each contest.

I believe this will be a high scoring game similar to last year's contest.
My Prediction: UGA 48 - UF 31

Go Dawgs
TD

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